American international coverage scholar John Mearsheimer has recommended that former President Donald Trump might attempt to stop an India-Pakistan war by providing India a profitable financial incentive. In feedback made to Spectator TV, Mearsheimer speculated that tariffs—controversial as they have been—might function leverage in excessive-stakes diplomacy.
“Possibly Trump might inform the Indians that he’d give them a actual sweetheart deal if he felt they have been on the verge of going to war and Trump did not need them to go to war,” Mearsheimer mentioned.
He acknowledged the sturdy ties between the 2 administrations throughout Trump’s presidency, saying, “I feel relations between the Trump administration and the Modi administration are excellent, and we’re not prone to play laborious ball with Modi in the best way you simply described.” Nonetheless, he admitted, “It’s simply laborious to say what’s going on with regard to US-Indian relations over the Kashmir disaster at this time limit.”
The broader context, in accordance with Mearsheimer, is much extra alarming. He warned that the India-Pakistan battle is dangerously unstable, and famous that the USA has traditionally intervened to de-escalate tensions. “These are two nuclear-armed nations which have a historical past of preventing wars,” he mentioned. “Up to now, the USA has intervened in crises between these two nations to go to nice lengths to close them down.”
He defined that U.S. diplomacy has typically targeted on stopping India from launching a main assault, fearing that it might set off Pakistan’s nuclear response. “We’ve at all times feared that a battle that began off on the typical stage would escalate to the nuclear stage,” he mentioned, pointing to the army imbalance. “The traditional steadiness of energy drastically favors the Indians.”
Nevertheless, Mearsheimer expressed doubt that Trump would reply with the urgency earlier presidents demonstrated. “You do not have the sense that the Trump administration is paying cautious consideration to this battle,” he mentioned. “Let’s hope this isn’t the case, however this one might spin uncontrolled.”
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