At A Look
Propensity-to-pay fashions use predictive analytics to assist healthcare organizations perceive affected person fee conduct. Find out how suppliers can leverage these instruments to prioritize collections, improve money circulation and cut back unhealthy debt.

Key takeaways:
- Suppliers are dealing with growing unhealthy debt ranges and a pointy decline in affected person assortment charges.
- Propensity-to-pay fashions use predictive analytics to shortly assist collections workers prioritize affected person accounts with the best probability-to-pay.
- In 2024, Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor purchasers achieved an distinctive Return on Funding (ROI) of 10:1.
Inefficient assortment processes and an absence of perception right into a affected person’s propensity to pay can disrupt your complete healthcare income cycle, resulting in money circulation points, unhealthy debt and poor monetary experiences for sufferers. Nonetheless, predictive analytics in healthcare collections may also help income cycle leaders higher forecast the probability a affected person pays, streamline your complete collections course of and increase income restoration charges. Understanding a affected person’s particular person and distinctive monetary standing by the usage of propensity-to-pay fashions will result in a extra strategic outreach, ensuing in increased affected person satisfaction.
Right here’s all the pieces healthcare organizations have to find out about utilizing propensity-to-pay fashions powered by machine studying, like Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor.
Why propensity-to-pay fashions matter greater than ever
As healthcare suppliers face continued workers shortages, juggle excessive volumes of self-pay accounts and regulate to new laws underneath the One Massive Lovely Invoice Act (OBBBA), streamlining collections is essential. And not using a fashionable propensity-to-pay mannequin in place, collections timelines can drag out, disrupting your complete income cycle and affecting the standard of affected person care.
Leveraging propensity-to-pay fashions, like those which are included inside the Collections Optimization Supervisor, permits busy billing groups to simply establish which sufferers are almost definitely to pay and deal with collections for prime-precedence accounts. It additionally considerably reduces the dependency on third-occasion businesses, permitting you to maintain extra collections in-house, whereas eliminating wasted effort on low-yield duties, similar to repeated cellphone calls to accounts unlikely to pay.

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The information science behind propensity-to-pay modeling
The information science behind propensity-to-pay modeling could embrace the next:
- Knowledge assortment: Propensity-to-pay fashions make the most of excessive-high quality and complete information from quite a few inside and exterior sources similar to ERP methods, CRM platforms, credit score bureaus and employment standing.
- Function engineering: Knowledge scientists establish uncooked information factors that correlate strongly with fee conduct as options to make use of propensity-to-pay modeling.
- Mannequin choice: Several types of algorithms can analyze information and supply propensity-to-pay rating modeling. These embrace easy fashions to find out if a affected person “pays/is not going to pay” and extra complicated machine studying able to recognizing patterns to higher predict fee probability.
- Mannequin coaching: Earlier than use, the mannequin have to be skilled on historic datasets to find out the connection between a function and final result, then validated for accuracy.
- Scoring and integration: After validation, income cycle managers can use the mannequin to generate propensity-to-pay scores that point out how doubtless a affected person is to pay, prioritize excessive propensity-to-pay accounts and plan affected person communication methods.
What do machine studying/predictive analytics have a look at?
In propensity-to-pay modeling, machine studying and predictive analytics have a look at a variety of things to find out how doubtless a affected person is to pay. These elements could differ by answer, however usually embrace:
- Demographics: Affected person age, geolocation, earnings and socioeconomic information are all thought-about.
- Earlier fee conduct: Historic drivers of future fee information, like fee historical past, fee success price, fee strategies and delays are factored into the modeling.
- Communication historical past: The mannequin additionally considers previous interactions like affected person responses to assortment notices, self-pay portal visits and the variety of clicks on assortment emails.
- Monetary misery alerts: Some fashions may issue in behaviors that present modifications in spending patterns and different indicators {that a} affected person could battle to pay.
The position of machine studying and AI in healthcare collections
Synthetic intelligence (AI) and machine studying (ML), a subset of AI, each play a pivotal position in healthcare collections. When used in propensity-to-pay fashions, AI and machine-studying algorithms course of huge quantities of information factors and generate extra correct propensity-to-pay scores than much less subtle scoring fashions.
Understanding ML vs. AI
The time period “machine studying” is used interchangeably with AI. Nonetheless, in healthcare predictive analytics, ML is a subset of AI the place methods study patterns from information with out the necessity for specific programming. Machine studying is usually used in propensity-to-pay scoring options, like Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor.
It examines varied forms of data, then “learns” which sufferers usually tend to pay their payments and identifies those that could battle to do so. The result’s a propensity-to-pay rating, a quantity that tells suppliers how doubtless every affected person is to pay.

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Experian Well being’s distinctive information benefit
Numerous information fashions are used throughout the business to foretell a affected person’s propensity-to-pay. Nonetheless, Collections Optimization Supervisor makes use of a extra sturdy information set for modeling, offering a novel information benefit. This answer segments sufferers by credit score information, fee historical past, demographics and extra, making it a extra highly effective instrument for income cycle managers.
Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor additionally brings collectively many forms of information by way of its algorithms and analytic fashions. This helps suppliers higher perceive their sufferers’ monetary elements, one affected person at a time. When segmentation is correctly deployed and utilized, the collections course of turns into a greater-knowledgeable interplay between a affected person and their supplier.
In a latest interview on affected person collections know-how, Experian Well being’s lead product supervisor Matt Hanas notes:
“When suppliers use detailed, complete segmentation, they will implement particular contact methods, fee plans and even automated write-offs primarily based on a affected person’s distinctive monetary standing. They will make sure that every affected person has the fitting variety of touches and may provide them a spread of attainable fee choices.”
Matt Hanas, Lead Product Supervisor at Experian Well being
FAQs
A propensity-to-pay rating is a metric used in healthcare income cycle administration to foretell how doubtless every affected person is to pay, so suppliers can prioritize collections efforts. Propensity-to-pay scores use machine studying and predictive analytics to identify developments primarily based on elements similar to fee historical past, credit score, behavioral, socioeconomic and earnings information.
Machine studying and predictive analytics go hand-in-hand in healthcare income cycle administration to assist suppliers streamline collections. Machine studying fashions, like Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor, analyze a affected person’s previous funds, credit score historical past, earnings information and different elements to identify patterns and use predictive analytics to gauge how doubtless the affected person is to pay their payments.
Experian Well being’s Collections Optimization Supervisor makes use of machine studying, a subset of AI, to generate propensity-to-pay scores for sufferers. These scores give suppliers a complete view of a affected person’s monetary scenario and assist healthcare suppliers phase sufferers into tiers primarily based on how doubtless they’re to pay.
The underside line: Embracing change in collections practices with Experian Well being
Making updates to longstanding collections practices is a big funding for many suppliers—and will really feel like an intimidating endeavor. Nonetheless, partnering with Experian Well being to combine a complete collections answer powered by machine studying may also help improve collections charges quickly and reduce the executive load. Our business-main instrument, Collections Optimization Supervisor, provides a wiser and quicker method to acquire affected person funds, and skilled consultants can be found to assist shifting collections wants.
Study extra about how Experian Well being’s information-pushed affected person collections optimization answer makes use of machine studying and AI to assist income cycle administration workers acquire extra affected person balances.
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